Excessivly High Lego Prices on ebay inflating CAGR. Why??

former-member · 2015-01-09T23:14:32.000Z

So I'm at Target trying to pick up some EOL Star Wars Sets and I pull up the price guide on 75038-1 Jedi Interceptor. the CAGR says 74%. Wow, great right!! The New Price is $43.52. So I check what Lego has it for under "Current Offers". Lego has it at $24.99. Plenty of them. Not "Hard to Find", "Retiring soon", "Sold Out". So why is the price and CAGR so high? So I check out the Ebay section under "Current Offers" and $110.00, $89.00, $119.00??? What the heck. And almost always the high prices originate from Japan or South Korea. Why are these prices so high and what idiot is buying them? So I'm determined to get down to the bottom of this. I use the CAGR to gauge what I'm investing in, so if its WAY wrong, I need to know it. Looking at the Monthly Sold Items and Values charts below (see attached pics),which drive the Market Value and CAGR, I notice that the "New" values (red lines) from June to November are $40ish, but the sales plummet to 1 sale for July, 1 in August, 0 in September, 2 in October, and 3 in November. Now I understand that the CAGR is not a full proof stat. But then why is there so many crazy high ebay prices for easy to buy items. So stay with me here, maybe its some kind of crazy retailer Lego conspiracy to get the thousands of Lego investors to buy the bad selling Legos off the shelves quicker. I don't know, I'm just saying... I would never think that, but all these crazy prices on almost ALL the ebay checks I've been making points to something weird. If someone has a better answer, I would love to know. P.S. This is no way saying anything negative about the Brickpicker CAGR or the site. It's just something out there is skewing the numbers. Thanks for listening to my rant. Eric ***.